Cortez, FL Warnings, Watches and Advisories

Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water depth or fast flowing water/mud/debris from a flash flood will make road conditions unsafe. Do not rely soley on data presented here or other third-party websites - always check your official national and local weather service agency website, socials, radio and/or TV stations for making critical decisions related to weather events.

Please carefully read each posted Warning and Alert as it relates to the area(s) being affected. We may provide a wider range of issued severe weather warnings for surrounding cities and counties, so some alerts may not directly impact this location. This is done to help with preparing for severe weather that may overlap or be heading towards Cortez.

Use the Radar Maps link provided to understand the trajectory of a storm.

Rip Current Statement issued November 5 at 11:18AM EST until November 8 at 1:00AM EST by NWS Tallahassee FL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Bay County Beaches. * WHEN...Through Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Rip Current Statement issued November 5 at 11:18AM EST until November 8 at 1:00AM EST by NWS Tallahassee FL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Walton, Gulf, and Franklin County Beaches. * WHEN...Through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Tropical Cyclone Statement issued November 5 at 10:32AM EST by NWS Key West FL

HLSKEY This product covers the Florida Keys **TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm Warning for Monroe Lower Keys and Monroe Middle Keys * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Monroe Lower Keys and Monroe Middle Keys * STORM INFORMATION: - About 510 miles south-southeast of Key West FL - 17.8N 78.6W - Storm Intensity 60 mph - Movement Northwest or 320 degrees at 13 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ At 1000 AM EST, the center of Tropical Storm Rafael was located in the Caribbean Sea about 65 miles southwest of Jamaica. Rafael is moving toward the northwest at 13 mph. This northwestward motion is expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track, the storm is expected to move near western Jamaica through early this afternoon, be near or over the Cayman Islands as a hurricane this evening and tonight, and be near or over western Cuba on Wednesday. There is moderate confidence in a forecast track across west-central Cuba into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, passing to the southwest and west of the Florida Keys. Due to uncertainty in the exact structure and track of the storm, there remains some uncertainty in the level of potential impacts for the island chain. The potential for sustained tropical storm force winds are now two in three at Key West, and around one in two at Marathon and Layton. Tropical storm force winds will most likely arrive around midday Wednesday. There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) of severe thunderstorms Wednesday and Wednesday night, including the potential for a few tornadoes. The most potent thundery squalls will be capable of localized wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph. Saltwater flooding for oceanside portions of the Florida Keys could reach up to 2 feet above mean higher high water Wednesday through Wednesday evening, or about a foot higher than recent high tides. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * WIND: Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across Lower Keys. Potential impacts in this area include: - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - A few large trees snapped or uprooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. - Scattered power and communications outages. Prepare for a wind event having possible limited impacts across the Middle and Upper Keys. * SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots. - Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * TORNADOES: Prepare for a dangerous tornado event having possible significant impacts across the Lower and Middle Keys. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll. Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the Middle and Upper Keys. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. Refer to monroecountyem.com for the latest information. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly ventilated area. If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter options. If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees, a manufactured home, or on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong winds or flooding. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see monroecountyem.com - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org - For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see floridadisaster.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Key West FL around 5 PM EST, or sooner if conditions warrant.

Tropical Storm Warning issued November 5 at 10:00AM EST by NWS Key West FL

A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Marathon - Key Colony Beach - Layton * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain possible - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind damage. - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: early Wednesday morning until Thursday morning - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground. - PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding, especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditions become unsafe. - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for your area. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional around 1 inch - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for localized flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for localized flooding from heavy rain. - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations. - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger damage paths. - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency - http://ready.gov/ - Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service - http://www.weather.gov/key/

Tropical Storm Warning issued November 5 at 10:00AM EST by NWS Key West FL

A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Key West - Sugarloaf Key - Big Pine Key * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain possible - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58 to 73 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for significant wind damage. - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Scattered power and communications outages. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: early Wednesday morning until Thursday morning - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground. - PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding, especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditions become unsafe. - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for your area. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for localized flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for localized flooding from heavy rain. - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations. - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger damage paths. - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency - http://ready.gov/ - Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service - http://www.weather.gov/key/

Flood Warning issued November 5 at 9:37AM EST by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Citrus and Levy Counties. Withlacoochee River At Croom affecting Sumter and Pasco Counties. Withlacoochee At SR 200 Holder affecting Citrus County. Withlacoochee At US 301 Trilby affecting Pasco and Hernando Counties. For the Withlacoochee...including US 301 Trilby, Croom, SR 200 Holder, US 41 Dunnellon...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Withlacoochee River at Croom. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, Farms and pastureland flood. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet. - Bankfull stage is 9.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 8:30 AM EST Tuesday was 10.0 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 9.3 feet Friday morning. - Flood stage is 9.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.8 feet on 03/03/1998. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Flood Warning issued November 5 at 9:37AM EST by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Citrus and Levy Counties. Withlacoochee River At Croom affecting Sumter and Pasco Counties. Withlacoochee At SR 200 Holder affecting Citrus County. Withlacoochee At US 301 Trilby affecting Pasco and Hernando Counties. For the Withlacoochee...including US 301 Trilby, Croom, SR 200 Holder, US 41 Dunnellon...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Withlacoochee at SR 200 Holder. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, Arrowhead subdivision floods with water in homes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 10.9 feet. - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 8:45 AM EST Tuesday was 10.9 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood stage at 10.8 feet. - Flood stage is 8.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 feet on 03/21/1998. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Flood Warning issued November 5 at 9:37AM EST by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Citrus and Levy Counties. Withlacoochee River At Croom affecting Sumter and Pasco Counties. Withlacoochee At SR 200 Holder affecting Citrus County. Withlacoochee At US 301 Trilby affecting Pasco and Hernando Counties. For the Withlacoochee...including US 301 Trilby, Croom, SR 200 Holder, US 41 Dunnellon...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 41 Dunnellon. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 29.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps flood. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 29.7 feet. - Bankfull stage is 29.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 8:45 AM EST Tuesday was 29.8 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood stage at 29.7 feet. - Flood stage is 29.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.7 feet on 03/20/1998. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Flood Warning issued November 5 at 9:37AM EST by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Citrus and Levy Counties. Withlacoochee River At Croom affecting Sumter and Pasco Counties. Withlacoochee At SR 200 Holder affecting Citrus County. Withlacoochee At US 301 Trilby affecting Pasco and Hernando Counties. For the Withlacoochee...including US 301 Trilby, Croom, SR 200 Holder, US 41 Dunnellon...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 301 Trilby. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 14.2 feet, River road east of the river is flooded. One campsite at the park is flooded. Peterson Park is flooded and closed. One home on Cercelia road is isolated. The Florida Campland is flooded. Wood River Court homes are isolated. And the Withlacoochee River canoe rental is flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 14.5 feet. - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 8:30 AM EST Tuesday was 14.8 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 13.5 feet Friday morning. - Flood stage is 12.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on 09/16/1988. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Flood Warning issued November 5 at 8:25AM EST until November 10 at 7:00AM EST by NWS Melbourne FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County. .The Saint Johns River Above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast to continue a steady decline through Minor Flood Stage this week and could potentially fall below Minor Flood Stage this weekend. Residents and interests along the St. Johns River near Lake Harney will continue to experience flood impacts into at least this weekend. For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor flooding is forecast. Additional information is available at www.weather.gov. The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney. * WHEN...Until Sunday morning. * IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 7:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 8.4 feet. - Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 7:30 AM EST Tuesday was 8.5 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.4 feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Sunday morning. - Flood stage is 8.0 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Flood Warning issued November 5 at 8:24AM EST by NWS Melbourne FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... St Johns River Near Sanford affecting Seminole County. .The Saint Johns River at Sanford is forecast to continue a slow decline through Minor Flood Stage this week. Residents and interests along the St. Johns River at Sanford should continue to expect prolonged minor flood impacts. For the St. Johns River...including Sanford...Minor flooding is forecast. Additional information is available at www.weather.gov. The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...St Johns River near Sanford. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 6.0 feet, Water encroaches on low lying roads, also pool enclosures and patios in the Stone Island area. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 7:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 6.0 feet. - Bankfull stage is 4.2 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 7:30 AM EST Tuesday was 6.1 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 6.0 feet this afternoon. - Flood stage is 5.5 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Flood Warning issued November 5 at 8:23AM EST by NWS Melbourne FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... St Johns River Near Deland affecting Volusia and Lake Counties. .The Saint Johns River at Deland is forecast to continue a steady decline through Minor Flood Stage this week. Residents and interests along the St. Johns River at Deland should continue to expect prolonged flood impacts. For the St. Johns River...including Deland...Minor flooding is forecast. Additional information is available at www.weather.gov. The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...St Johns River near Deland. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 4.5 feet, Water moves into yards and approaches buildings around Hontoon Island. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 7:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 4.4 feet. - Bankfull stage is 3.5 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 7:30 AM EST Tuesday was 4.4 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 4.4 feet this afternoon. - Flood stage is 4.0 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Flood Warning issued November 5 at 8:22AM EST by NWS Melbourne FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... St Johns River Near Astor affecting Volusia and Lake Counties. .The Saint Johns River at Astor remains in Moderate Flood Stage and a very slow decline in river level is forecast to continue into this weekend. Residents and interests along the Saint Johns River should continue to expect prolonged flood impacts. For the St. Johns River...including Astor...Moderate flooding is forecast. Additional information is available at www.weather.gov. The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST. * WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. * WHERE...St Johns River near Astor. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 3.0 feet, Water approaches or may enter lowest homes on or near Wildhog Road and nearby canals. Flooding reaches the parking lot of the Juno Trail Apartments. Flooding on portions of Alligator Road and Holiday Road. Lowest lying yards along Blue Creek are flooded. Roads at Astor Landing Campground and Lake Dexter Boat Ramp begin to flood. Water enters lower homes closest to the river on McPherson Lane. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 7:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 3.2 feet. - Bankfull stage is 2.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 7:30 AM EST Tuesday was 3.2 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood stage at 3.2 feet. - Flood stage is 2.3 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Wind Advisory issued November 5 at 5:53AM EST until November 6 at 1:00AM EST by NWS Miami FL

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Coastal Palm Beach County, Coastal Broward County and Coastal Miami Dade County. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Tropical Cyclone Statement issued November 5 at 5:20AM EST by NWS Key West FL

HLSKEY This product covers the Florida Keys **TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Monroe Lower Keys and Monroe Middle Keys * STORM INFORMATION: - About 570 miles south-southeast of Key West FL or about 570 miles south-southeast of Marathon FL - 17.0N 78.0W - Storm Intensity 60 mph - Movement Northwest or 325 degrees at 13 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ At 400 AM EST, the center of Tropical Storm Rafael was located in the Caribbean Sea about 170 miles southwest of Jamaica. Rafael is moving toward the northwest at 13 mph. This northwestward motion is expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move near Jamaica this morning, be near or over the Cayman Islands as a hurricane by tonight, and approach western Cuba on Wednesday. There is moderate confidence in a forecast track across western Cuba into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, passing to the southwest and west of the Florida Keys. Due to some uncertainty in the exact structure of the storm, there remains some uncertainty in the level of potential impacts for the island chain. The potential for sustained tropical storm force winds are now six in ten at Key West, and around one in three at Marathon and Layton. Tropical storm force winds will most likely arrive around midday Wednesday. There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) of severe thunderstorms Wednesday and Wednesday night, including the potential for a few tornadoes. The most potent thundery squalls will be capable of localized wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph. Saltwater flooding for oceanside portions of the Florida Keys could reach up to 2 feet above mean higher high water Wednesday through Wednesday evening, or about a foot higher than recent high tides. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * WIND: Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across Lower Keys. Potential impacts in this area include: - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Scattered power and communications outages. Prepare for a wind event having possible limited impacts across the Middle and Upper Keys. * SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * TORNADOES: Prepare for a dangerous tornado event having possible significant impacts across the Lower Keys. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll. Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the Middle and Upper Keys. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Refer to monroecountyem.com for the latest information. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your home or business. When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm. If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees, a manufactured home, or on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness activities to become unsafe. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast. There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see monroecountyem.com - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org - For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see floridadisaster.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Key West FL around 11 AM EST, or sooner if conditions warrant.

Rip Current Statement issued November 5 at 3:22AM CST until November 10 at 5:00AM CST by NWS Mobile AL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Baldwin Coastal County. In Florida, Escambia Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal and Okaloosa Coastal Counties. * WHEN...Through late Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Rip Current Statement issued November 5 at 3:53AM EST until November 6 at 4:00AM EST by NWS Melbourne FL

* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 7 feet in the surf zone. * WHERE...Coastal Volusia, Coastal Indian River, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Martin, Mainland Northern Brevard, Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, Mainland Southern Brevard and Southern Brevard Barrier Islands Counties. * WHEN...For the High Rip Current Risk, through late tonight. For the High Surf Advisory, until 4 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

High Surf Advisory issued November 5 at 3:53AM EST until November 6 at 4:00AM EST by NWS Melbourne FL

* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 7 feet in the surf zone. * WHERE...Coastal Volusia, Coastal Indian River, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Martin, Mainland Northern Brevard, Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, Mainland Southern Brevard and Southern Brevard Barrier Islands Counties. * WHEN...For the High Rip Current Risk, through late tonight. For the High Surf Advisory, until 4 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Coastal Flood Advisory issued November 5 at 1:46AM EST until November 6 at 4:00AM EST by NWS Jacksonville FL

* WHAT...Minor coastal flooding. * WHERE...St Johns River Basin. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected.

Rip Current Statement issued November 5 at 1:46AM EST until November 6 at 4:00AM EST by NWS Jacksonville FL

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Coastal Duval, Coastal St. Johns and Coastal Flagler Counties. * WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 4 AM EST Wednesday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late tonight. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Coastal Flood Advisory issued November 5 at 1:46AM EST until November 6 at 4:00AM EST by NWS Jacksonville FL

* WHAT...Minor coastal flooding. * WHERE...Inland Flagler and Trout River Counties. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected.

Coastal Flood Advisory issued November 5 at 1:46AM EST until November 6 at 4:00AM EST by NWS Jacksonville FL

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Coastal Duval, Coastal St. Johns and Coastal Flagler Counties. * WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 4 AM EST Wednesday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late tonight. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Rip Current Statement issued November 5 at 1:46AM EST until November 6 at 4:00AM EST by NWS Jacksonville FL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Southeast Georgia Beaches. * WHEN...Through late tonight. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Rip Current Statement issued November 4 at 10:19PM EST until November 7 at 7:00PM EST by NWS Miami FL

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 10 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Coastal Palm Beach County and Coastal Broward County. * WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 7 PM EST Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Rip Current Statement issued November 4 at 10:19PM EST until November 7 at 7:00PM EST by NWS Miami FL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Coastal Miami Dade County. * WHEN...Through Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

High Surf Advisory issued November 4 at 10:19PM EST until November 7 at 7:00PM EST by NWS Miami FL

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 10 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Coastal Palm Beach County and Coastal Broward County. * WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 7 PM EST Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.