Baldwin County, GA Warnings, Watches and Advisories
SAFETY and DATA MESSAGE
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water depth or fast flowing water/mud/debris from a flash flood will make road conditions unsafe. Do not rely soley on data presented here or other third-party websites - always check your official national and local weather service agency website, socials, radio and/or TV stations for making critical decisions related to weather events.
Please carefully read each posted Warning and Alert as it relates to the area(s) being affected. We may provide a wider range of issued severe weather warnings for surrounding cities and counties, so some alerts may not directly impact this location. This is done to help with preparing for severe weather that may overlap or be heading towards Baldwin County.
Use the Radar Maps link provided to understand the trajectory of a storm.
Hydrologic Outlook
Hydrologic Outlook issued November 5 at 2:44PM EST by NWS Tallahassee FL
ESFTAE As an anomalously moist environment surges northward from Tropical Storm Rafael into the southeast US, locally heavy rainfall will become possible Wednesday through Thursday, primarily in southwest Georgia. This will interact with a trough, providing a focus for heavier rainfall to develop, but the exact position remains uncertain. Currently, the most likely rainfall totals are around 1.5 to 3 inches across southwest Georgia. However, there is about a 30 to 40 percent chance of rainfall exceeding 3 inches and about a 20 to 30 percent chance of exceeding 6 inches. These probabilities are highest around the Albany, Tifton, and Fitzgerald areas. Current flash flood guidance is about 3.5 inches in 1 hour or 5 inches in 6 hours across southwest Georgia. In addition, given the lack of any meaningful rainfall over the last month, the ground has likely hardened in spots, making these areas more prone to excessive runoff. Thus, the threat of flash flooding will likely come from high rainfall rates, which are harder to pin down on exact location. The Weather Prediction Center has outlined much of southwest Georgia in a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall (level 2 of 4) on Wednesday, meaning there is at least a 15 percent of exceeding flash flood guidance. That risk decreases to Marginal (level 1 of 4) on Thursday. Rivers are running low at the moment given the very dry October. It will take over 7 inches of rain for the rivers to get close to minor flood, which is unlikely at this point. Chances for rivers in southwest Georgia to reach minor flood are generally less than 5 percent at this time. If confidence in where the heaviest rainfall sets up or if the chances for heavy rainfall increases, a Flood Watch may be needed for parts of the area. Keep an eye on the latest forecasts tonight into Wednesday morning.
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Unknown
Possible
Future
November 5th, 2024 02:44:00 pm EST
November 5th, 2024 02:44:00 pm EST
November 6th, 2024 07:00:00 am EST
Rip Current Statement
Rip Current Statement issued November 5 at 2:07PM EST until November 7 at 4:00AM EST by NWS Jacksonville FL
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Southeast Georgia Beaches. * WHEN...Through late Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
Coastal Nassau; Coastal Glynn; Coastal Camden
Moderate
Likely
Expected
November 5th, 2024 02:07:00 pm EST
November 5th, 2024 02:07:00 pm EST
November 6th, 2024 04:00:00 am EST
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Currently
77°F |
30.09in
Barometer 79%
Humidity North 0.0mph Wind |
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Mostly Cloudy |